tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5190378770423658202.post1792624987672732517..comments2024-02-16T03:30:47.954-05:00Comments on Canadian Election Atlas: 2012 Alberta election - final prediction.Earl A. Washburnhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06487571623276436603noreply@blogger.comBlogger9125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5190378770423658202.post-70235706509610408652012-04-29T10:41:15.289-04:002012-04-29T10:41:15.289-04:00The voters have shown that the Wildrose is too ide...The voters have shown that the Wildrose is too ideological and extreme to govern. Nothing more than a rural southern-based protest party.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5190378770423658202.post-25356497727380244162012-04-24T08:24:15.774-04:002012-04-24T08:24:15.774-04:00hang on...62-16-5-4?? These numbers are almost per...hang on...62-16-5-4?? These numbers are almost perfect! Just got the PCs and Wildrose the wrong way round :pAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5190378770423658202.post-10476319030960056032012-04-24T01:09:49.308-04:002012-04-24T01:09:49.308-04:00I sure did blow it! I guess I can only blame the p...I sure did blow it! I guess I can only blame the pollsters. I listened to everyone who commented on their local races.Earl A. Washburnhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06487571623276436603noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5190378770423658202.post-8888264462062198202012-04-24T01:06:46.806-04:002012-04-24T01:06:46.806-04:00Really blew that one. Wish you had been right! Wha...Really blew that one. Wish you had been right! What do you think happened? Social media? Left all voting PC? Strategic voting?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5190378770423658202.post-34783058526512760992012-04-23T03:13:07.664-04:002012-04-23T03:13:07.664-04:00It's going to be a close one I think, but the ...It's going to be a close one I think, but the Forum poll is suspicious to me because it is so different from what Forum and everyone else has been saying so far in this election. It's a weekend poll, so I would treat it with suspicion just for that reason alone; people usually don't pay attention to politics and elections as much on weekends. From a rural north/central perspective, I actually think I saw more Wildrose support (signs and talking to people from the riding) in Stettler (Drumheller-Stettler) than I did in Battle River-Wainwright, so it is definitely proving to be difficult to tell in the part of the province that I am from.Robert Nickshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01594085512369229189noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5190378770423658202.post-26218356911531270092012-04-23T02:29:43.078-04:002012-04-23T02:29:43.078-04:00Yes, I've noticed the difference. I suppose it...Yes, I've noticed the difference. I suppose it will be somewhere in between. I just don't know what ridings wont go WRP in many cases, so the safe bet is to predict Wildrose when in doubt. I think the PCs will win a few more seats in rural Alberta and in Calgary, I just don't know which ones. <br /><br />Now, I did my predictions before a new Forum Research poll came out showing a very close race. Seems to either be an outlier or catching some last minute momentum shifts. My bet is on the former.Earl A. Washburnhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06487571623276436603noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5190378770423658202.post-70778292172605613092012-04-23T02:03:30.590-04:002012-04-23T02:03:30.590-04:00Here and 308 are vastly different this election. O...Here and 308 are vastly different this election. One of you will have some bragging rights tomorrow night. Good luck.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5190378770423658202.post-21187423517826228172012-04-23T00:30:10.061-04:002012-04-23T00:30:10.061-04:00Thanks, I fixed my error. I'm glad you agree w...Thanks, I fixed my error. I'm glad you agree with my predictions, I hadn't heard anything from that area, so I was just basing it on math and whatever candidate strengths I thought there were.Earl A. Washburnhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06487571623276436603noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5190378770423658202.post-59510104978296025612012-04-23T00:06:45.629-04:002012-04-23T00:06:45.629-04:00As a resident of Cold Lake who is temporarily atte...As a resident of Cold Lake who is temporarily attending school in Camrose, I agree with your assessment in these two ridings. In Bonnyville-Cold Lake, Doonanco and Leskiw are roughly tied in the lawn sign war, and it has been are hard-fought battle, but Wildrose should be able to pick this one up. I agree with your account of Wetaskiwin-Camrose as well, another narrow race but one that should also go Wildrose. However, it should be noted that the PC MLA in Wetaskiwin-Camrose is Verlyn Olson, not LeRoy Johnson. Johnson retired after the 2008 election.Robert Nickshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01594085512369229189noreply@blogger.com